By Chukwuma Charles Soludo, CFR 
April 2020
  This piece summarizes my contribution to an African debate. From Johannesburg
  to Lagos, Cairo to Dakar, Kinshasa to Kigali, Nairobi to Accra, etc the debate
  on how Africa should respond to the global coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic is
  raging. At an African regional policy platform, I had expressed some of these
  (personal) views some weeks ago but have been encouraged by most members to
  circulate them in Africa beyond the platform.
  This year 2020 begins a new decade that promises to be one of dreadful
  disruptions, with Africa holding the weakest end of the stick. In 2008/09, the
  global “great recession” was triggered by financial crisis in the US (world’s
  largest economy). Then, much of Africa was said to be decoupled from the
  crisis and muddled through without severe devastation of its economies. This
  year, a global health pandemic that has paused the global economy and certain
  to rail-road it into synchronized recession (if not depression) was triggered
  by the second largest economy, China. Unlike before, multilateralism and
  global coordination framework are at their weakest. National (local)
  self-defence is the rule. As before, the rich world with its generous welfare
  system and huge financial war chest, is taking care of itself (the US alone
  has US$2.2 trillion stimulus package). Africa is left to its fate.
  Covid-19 caught the world totally unprepared, and with no proven and available
  medical response. Ad-hoc cocktails and learning-by-doing constitute the
  strategic package. In most western countries, the cocktail of response has
  included a coterie of defensive measures including: border closure; prepare
  isolation centres and mobilize medical personnel/facilities; implement “stay
  at home” orders or lockdowns except for food, medicine and essential services;
  campaign for basic hygiene and social distancing; arrange welfare packages for
  the vulnerable; and also economic stimulus packages to mitigate the effects on
  the macro economy. 
  Many African countries have largely copied the above template, to varying
  degrees. Piece-meal extensions of “stay at home” or lockdown orders as in many
  western countries have also been copied in Africa. But the question is: can
  Africa really afford lockdowns, and can they be effective? Put differently,
  given the social and economic circumstances of Africa and the impending
  ‘economic pandemic’, can Africa successfully and sustainably defeat Covid-19
  by copying the conventional trial-and-error template of the western nations?
  In confusion and desperation, the world seemed to be throwing any and
  everything at the pandemic. Recall President Trump’s assertion that
  hydroxychloroquine “might help”? The evidence so far (from limited sample) is
  that it probably actually worsens the disease. The trial and error have left
  huge human toll and economic ruins, and there is still no solution.






